From Left to right, Benny Gantz, Ayelet Shaked, Avigdor Lieberman, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Israel will hold its next elections on September 17, 2019. (Getty Images \/ JTA Montage)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
In the April election, the right wing won a majority. But because Israel has a parliamentary system, a bunch of small right-wing parties had to agree to join a governing coalition. They were too divided to do that, so now Israel is trying again.<\/p>\n
Unsurprisingly, people have basically the same opinions they had earlier this year. In other words, polls haven\u2019t shifted much.<\/p>\n
The main difference between this election and the last one is that a few groups of small parties have decided to join together, meaning fewer parties are running this time. But overall, the Israeli right, center and left are still slated to get the same number of votes as last time.<\/p>\n
Here\u2019s a look at who\u2019s running next month, what they stand for and what their chances are.<\/p>\n
Is Benjamin Netanyahu running again?<\/strong>Netanyahu opposes Palestinian statehood, supports annexing Israeli West Bank settlements to Israel and sees Iran (and its potential nuclear weapons program) as Israel\u2019s biggest threat. He\u2019s put up ads showing off his bromances with right-wing leaders around the world, including President Donald Trump and Russian strongman Vladimir Putin.<\/p>\n
Polls show that Likud is slated to get 30 seats in Knesset, Israel\u2019s parliament, in the upcoming election. That\u2019s down from the 35 seats it won in April.
Earlier this year, there were basically two parties to the right of Likud, which broke off from each other before the last election. Now, they\u2019re reuniting. The party, called United Right, is staunchly pro-settlement, hawkish on defense and supports infusing Israel\u2019s culture with religious Judaism.<\/p>\n
The party\u2019s leader, Ayelet Shaked, is someone to watch. She\u2019s a secular woman at the head of a religious, mostly male party. That means United Right is the only party headed by a woman. It\u2019s a comeback of sorts for Shaked, who is a popular former justice minister, and who did not win a Knesset seat in April\u2019s election.<\/p>\n
The United Right is polling as high as 14 seats, and has said it will support Netanyahu after the next election. Then (because, why not?) its two parties have said they will break up again.<\/p>\n
One party left out in the cold is an extremist group called Jewish Power, which has roots in the racist anti-Arab views of the late Rabbi Meir Kahane. Because of a deal brokered by Netanyahu, it was part of the religious Zionist party last time, but didn\u2019t join up this time. It tried to run with a new far-right anti-LGBTQ party, but decided not to. Why? One of the anti-LGBTQ candidates does not wear a yarmulke. Polls show that it won\u2019t get enough votes on its own to enter Knesset.<\/p>\n
Who\u2019s running against Netanyahu?<\/strong>The difference is that Blue and White is focusing on Netanyahu\u2019s impending indictment for fraud and breach of trust. They\u2019re painting him as a petty, corrupt and divisive leader.<\/p>\n
Other than that, the party is pretty vague on policy. It opposes Israeli annexation of the West Bank, but hasn\u2019t come out in support of a Palestinian state. It\u2019s led by former Israeli Defense Forces Chief of Staff Benny Gantz and former Finance Minister Yair Lapid.<\/p>\n
Do they have a chance?<\/strong>Until earlier this year, almost nobody called Liberman a centrist. He\u2019s a defense hawk who used to be more right-wing than Netanyahu. His party, Israel Beiteinu, has supported drawing Israel\u2019s borders to leave out Arab cities and applying the death penalty to terrorists.<\/p>\n
But he\u2019s also partially responsible for the repeat elections this year. His party\u2019s base is Russian-speaking Israelis, who are mostly secular. So in the April coalition negotiations, he refused to accept the demands of the haredi Orthodox parties, causing a deadlock.<\/p>\n
This time, Liberman is the kingmaker. His main goal is to freeze out the Orthodox parties, so he plans to use his party to force a unity government between Likud and Blue and White. A recent poll showed half of Israelis want that as well.<\/p>\n
The problem is that the two big parties have spent months demonizing each other, and Blue and White has vowed not to join a coalition with Netanyahu, though it would join with Likud if Netanyahu were somehow forced out.<\/p>\n
Wait, what about the Israeli left?<\/strong>Barak used to run Labor, a party that dominated Israeli politics back in the day. But Labor has had a tough summer. Its leader Amir Peretz, who is 67 years old, defeated two candidates in their thirties in the party primary. Then he allied with a center-right party called Gesher, which focuses on economic issues. Labor is polling at a paltry six seats.<\/p>\n
So Barak created a new center-left party. He immediately began trying to unite the left wing and ended up merging with the far-left Meretz Party and Stav Shaffir, a dynamic young lawmaker who left the Labor Party.<\/p>\n
Barak took a modest 10th place in the new party, which is called the Democratic Camp, meaning it would have to win 10 seats for him to earn a place in the legislature. It could be that he needed to lower his profile after being linked to convicted U.S. pedophile Jeffrey Epstein. The Democratic Camp is polling at 7-9 seats, which is a better showing than Meretz alone had in April.<\/p>\n
Both parties support a Palestinian state, oppose settlement annexation, are left-wing economically and staunchly oppose Netanyahu. But altogether they\u2019ll make up just a fraction of the Knesset.<\/p>\n
Also on the left, Israel\u2019s four main Arab political parties will join together again, after breaking up for the last election. The Arab Joint List won 13 seats in the 2015 election, but after splitting up into two factions, they won a total of 10 seats representing Arab-Israelis in April. The parties hope that the alliance will increase Arab voter turnout this time around.<\/p>\n
On Thursday, Joint List head Ayman Odeh said he would not rule out joining a government led by Gantz, but it\u2019s not likely that Gantz would invite him to join, because Arab-Israeli parties never sit in Israeli governing coalitions and usually disagree with both the Israeli Jewish left and right.<\/p>\n
Anyone else I should pay attention to?<\/strong>At least two new political parties with very narrow agendas got a lot of coverage in the Israeli media this week. There\u2019s the anti-LGBTQ party, Noam, which is designed to represent fervently religious Zionist voters. Their slogan is \u201cA Normal Nation in Our Own Land.\u201d<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, four wives of Jerusalem cult leader Daniel Ambash have formed a political party called Kama, or Advancing Individual Rights. Ambash, a Hasidic man who was married to six wives and had more than 10 children with them, was sentenced to 26 years in jail for sexual abuse and holding a person under conditions of slavery. The four wives still live together and have called for conjugal visits in prison with Ambash. The aim of the party is to prevent the government from intervening in Israelis\u2019 private lives.<\/p>\n
Israelis are going to have a long hot summer to decide which party to vote for.<\/p>\n
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